The general objective of the Project is to improve the efficiency of real time earthquake risk mitigation methods and its capability of protecting structures, infrastructures and people. REAKT aims at establishing the best practice on how to use jointly all the information coming from earthquake forecast, early warning and real time vulnerability assessment. All this information needs to be combined in a fully probabilistic framework, including realistic uncertainties estimations, to be used for decision making in real time.
REAKT will use a system-level earthquake science approach that requires that the various temporal scales of relevance for hazard and risk mitigation in the various WPs are integrated through common tools, databases and methods.
The main specific objectives are:
- a better understanding of physical processes underlying seismicity changes on a time scale from minutes to months;
- the development, calibration and testing of models of probabilistic earthquake forecasting and the investigation of its potential for operational earthquake forecasting;
- the development of time-dependent fragility functions for buildings, selected infrastructures, and utility systems;
- the development of real time loss estimation models over the lifetime of structures and systems due to foreshocks, main shocks and their subsequent aftershock sequences.
- the construction of a detailed methodology for optimal decision making associated with an earthquake early warning system (EEWS), with operational earthquake forecasting (OEF) and with real time vulnerability and loss assessment in order to facilitate the selection of risk reduction measures by end users;
- the study of the content and way of delivering public communication, recognizing the value of a degree of self organization in community decision making;
- the application of real time risk reduction systems to different situations (trains, industries, hospitals, bridges, schools, etc.).